Frustration Friday: Here There Be Dragons

As  you've noticed I do check political and economic news a lot – a lot of the economic news makes it into this blog, and politics does at times as well.  As I noted previously, it's a bit frustrating since intelligent, sane discussion on politics and economics is rare, and thus I avoid things to keep sanity.

Well, it may be frustration Friday, which gets a little irrational, but there is one thing I want to note – when it comes to jobs, the economy, and so on a lot of people don't know what the hell they're talking about.

We're in unknown territory economically these days.  I kind of wish economists, politicians, and, well, more people would acknowledge it.  Instead, we get a lot of flip answers like:

  • Obvious historical comparisons, such as "oh this is like the Great Depression" or whatever, that, when made, seem to give people the excuse to stop thinking.  For every Richard Florida who can actually make these comparisons, there's a lot of others making them lazily.
  • Moralistic brushing-off.  I'm seeing this a lot lately where politicians and pundits still keep bashing the unemployed.  A massive global socioeconomic and cultural shift is brushed off as people being lazy or needing to take lower-paying jobs (that aren't there).
  • General apocalyptic panic that seems to sounds like the same apocalyptic panic we've heard .  . . well for a long time.

Notice anything in common?  Yep, all of these reactions to the Great Recession are cases of people taking very familiar positions that have nothing to do with realities.

Guess what people, it's not working.  The flip explanations don't work and probably never worked.  We're off the map.  Here there be dragons.

I think if people could just acknowledge the sheer unknownness of everything going on in the Great Recession we'd be better off.  Pretending we know what's going on may comfort us, or others, or sell books, but it's deceptive and keeps us from facing what's going on.

The world is changing.  Stop acting like nothing has changed and everything fits nicely onto the map.

See the dragons before they eat you – and others.

– Steven Savage

Fandom Geekonomics, and What’s Ruining Commercial Real Estate

As anyone that follows my news summaries and geekonomic posts knows, I'm following the meltdown of commercial real estate. No, don't stop reading, this is probably less boring than some of my geekonomic posts.  Promise.

So, anyway, if you've at all been following the news about the economic apocalypse, commercial real estate is proving to have problems.  Much like housing, prices are down, occupancy is down, and the market is kind of screwy.  Offices and places of business just aren't that occupied

Beyond all the usual reasons about why this is, I'm wondering if commercial real estate now and in the future is going have trouble not just because of the economy and overdone loans but because of changes in business and technology – because, in short, well, kind of because of people like us.

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My Thoughts On The Great Reset

So after reading Richard Florida's "The Great Reset" I began asking myself what's coming next.  What will we, the profans, progeeks, working otaku, and the rest of us face as the economy of the world re-aligns after the Great Recession of the early 21st century?  What do I think is next?

So, with credit to the inspiration of Mr. Florida and everyone else I read for advice, here's what I've been thinking.

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