Last year's predictions are here.
And for this year . . .
Writer, Agilist, Elder Geek
You're hoping to leverage the Production Revolution to get out your novel, your music, your comic, what have you. I've been covering the reasons that the new tools for media creation and distribution aren't going to turn everyone into a potential media success (such as time and technical skill) and I'm going to continue to rain on the parade by noting another factor: marketing ability.
To say the world is changing faster and faster is both A) an unabashed understatement, and B) a tiresome tirade that we see in too many lazy news commentaries (unlike this hard-working one, of course). We progeeks and profanes, being wired and technical, know the world is changing fast – some of us are responsible for it for that matter.
The world is changing frighteningly fast because of, let me state the obvious, technology. I imagine many a science fiction writer has watched the rate of change in the world and just thrown up their hands in frustration. Technology is one of the major drivers of change in the modern world.